Short Communication
Patient Early-Risk Assignment: A Rational Approach to Personalized Medical Cancer Prevention
Nils Brünner and José M A Moreira*
Department of Drug Design and Pharmacology, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark
*Corresponding author: José M A Moreira, Department of Drug Design and Pharmacology, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark
Published: 11 Dec, 2017
Cite this article as: Brünner N, Moreira JMA. Patient Early-
Risk Assignment: A Rational Approach
to Personalized Medical Cancer
Prevention. Clin Oncol. 2017; 2: 1381.
Short Communication
The cancer burden is projected to increase in Europe from 3.6 million cases in 2015 to 4.3
million cases in 2035; an annual increase of approximately 20% or roughly 716,000 new cases. This
anticipated trend is due partly to population aging and growth, and partly to lifestyle changes with
increasing prevalence of risk factors, such as tobacco, obesity and physical inactivity. Colorectal
cancer (CRC) is a life-threatening disease with high-incidence, -morbidity, and -mortality. What
is worse, because of demographic and life-style changes, incidence of CRC is forecasted to grow
dramatically. In Europe alone, the number of new cases is expected to rise by 30% from 447136
patients in 2012, to 582545patients by year 2035 [1].
Overall, the economic, societal and personal burden of CRC is staggering, and it is only set to
worsen in the future. In spite of the latest improvements in diagnostic techniques and the introduction
of molecular targeted treatments, approximately 40% of CRC patients will still eventually die
from their disease, essentially due to development of drug resistance. The way this problem has
been addressed so far has been to develop novel therapies that are based on our ever-increasing
knowledge of tumor biology. Unfortunately, this approach has proven itself very challenging, costly
and with limited success [2]. The growing burden of CRC will eventually threaten the sustainability
of our health care systems, and the only realistic way to manage it, is by complementary efforts on
treatment and prevention, in particular through the introduction of preventive medical intervention
in patientsthat had pre-malignant colorectal lesions (high-risk adenomas) removed, but is still at
high risk of future CRC development.
The Case for Early Detection of CRC
Adenomatous colonic polyps (adenomas) are the earliest recognized pre-malignant lesions
of CRC. Screening and a surveillance colonoscopy program can largely avoid the morbidity and
mortality associated with CRC by colonoscopic removal of pre-malignant adenomas or by early
detection of CRC at a curable stage. At present, there is a severe lack of evidence-based knowledge
about the risk of adenoma patients to develop CRC with time. We know that patients who have
low-risk adenomas removed have a moderately lower risk of CRC related mortality as compared
to the general population. Conversely, patients who had had high-risk adenomas removed show
moderately higher risk of CRC related mortality as compared to the general population. These data
support the notion that patients who have had a high-risk adenoma removed, remain at increased
risk of later CRC development [3].
Current international guideline recommendations assign patient risk to low- or high-risk of
later CRC development- based on size of the adenomas, number of adenomas and histological
type (villous or tubular growth pattern with the serrated lesions now being added), and grade
of dysplasia. However, several studies have shown a dangerously low inter-observer agreement
between pathologists when risk-classifying adenoma samples [4]. In addition, the majority of highrisk
adenoma patients will never present with CRC. Consequently, because the number of adenomas
currently detected is very high (40%of all referrals to endoscopic examinations in areas with FIT
testing whereof approximately one-fourth are classified as intermediate or high risk according to
current guidelines) it is very important to identify those few (5-10 %) that are at true high risk of
developing CRC. Thus, new and more precise molecular stratification methods for CRC risk in
adenoma patients are greatly needed. But identifying those patients with high risk adenomas that
will develop CRC is just the first step. We also need to be able to offer these patients a plausible and
practical course of action, such as preventive cancer medicine. One example of preventive cancer
medicine that works in CRC are non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), such as aspirin.
Recent analyses of published data from 51 randomized controlled
clinical trials concluded that aspirin use significantly reduced
colorectal cancer incidence (25% reduction), as well as in-trial cancer
deaths by nearly 40% from five years and onwards of aspirin intake
[5]. Moreover, several randomized controlled trials (RCT) have
also proven the effectiveness of NSAIDs such as cyclooxygenase-2
(COX-2) selective inhibitors (celecoxib or rofecoxib) or aspirin in
preventing colorectal adenomas [6-8]. Unfortunately, all of these
drugs are associated with important cardiovascular events and
gastrointestinal harms. Given the patient setting, the use of any agent
as chemo preventive for CRC will necessitate a favorable balance
of benefits and risks. One way to shift the balance is with the use of
predictive biomarkers. Should one be able to pinpoint those patients
who will have most to gain from treatment, then the benefit could
exceed the harms.
Future Perspectives
The path to take is now clear. We have the possibility to make
major inroads in the management of CRC, but we lack some pieces of
the puzzle. To address some of the issues we pointed out previously,
we took an experimental approach implementing five independent
but interconnected investigational lines:
1. We will establish a novel molecular classification of
adenomas, which will allow for an objective and more precise risk
stratification of the individual adenoma patient. Moreover, this
classification will allow us to identify those individuals that should
receive medical preventive treatment.DNA sequencing and proteomic
analysis of high-risk adenomas are currently ongoing, and we expect
to derive a molecular signature for risk of later cancer development.
In this manner we can define true high-risk early lesions, amenable
to medical intervention, such that we can block progression from
benign to malignant lesions.
2. We are also in the process of validating predictive
biomarkers for identification of patients bearing high-risk early
lesions that will respond to aspirin. In this way we will not only
identify a target group of patients that have a real need for preventive
treatment, but we will also be able to select those patients that will
respond, in a true personalized medical prevention setting.
3. Pharmacoepidemiological studies (using the Scandinavian
Prescription Registries and Cancer Registries) are ongoing to identify
additional current drugs that can be used in a preventive setting to
prevent the re-occurrence of new lesions in those citizens bearing
high-risk adenomas.
4. We are currently establishing a pre-clinical model that
mimics the human adenoma to carcinoma progression process. The
goal is to find an animal model that closely resembles the human CRC
disease and molecular profile, which we can derive from comparative
analysis from genomic and proteomic data of mouse and human
adenoma and carcinoma tissue.
5. In collaboration with other research groups we will establish
chemical libraries based around drugs identified in investigational
line 2 that we can test in our model system for efficacy and toxicity.
References
- Ferlay J, Soerjomataram I, Ervik M, Dikshit R, Eser S, Mathers C, et al, Cancer Incidence and Mortality Worldwide: IARC CancerBase No. 11 [Internet].Lyon, France: International Agency for Research on Cancer; 2013.
- Løberg M, Kalager M, Holme Ø, Hoff G, Adami HO, Bretthauer M. Long-term colorectal-cancer mortality after adenoma removal. N Engl J Med. 2014 Aug 28; 371(9):799-807.
- Sanz-Garcia E, Grasselli J, Argiles, Elez ME, Tabernero J. Current and advancing treatments for metastatic colorectal cancer. Expert Opin Biol Ther. 2016; 16(1): 93-110.
- Osmond A, Li-Chang H, Kirsch R, Divaris D, Falck V, Liu DF, et al. Interobserver variability in assessing dysplasia and architecture in colorectal adenomas: a multicentre Canadian study. J Clin Pathol. 2014; 67(9): 781-6.
- Jessica Chubak, Aruna Kamineni, Diana SM Buist, Melissa L Anderson, Evelyn P Whitlock, et al. Aspirin Use for the Prevention of Colorectal Cancer. An Updated Systematic Evidence Review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force.Evidence Syntheses, No. 2015.
- Sandler RS, Halabi S, Baron JA. A randomized trial of aspirin to prevent colorectal adenomas in patients with previous colorectal cancer. N Engl J Med. 2003; 348(10): 883-890.
- Arber N, Eagle CJ, Spicak J, Rácz I, Dite P, Hajer J, et al. Celecoxib for the prevention of colorectal adenomatous polyps. N Engl J Med. 2006; 355(9): 885-895.
- Bertagnolli MM, Eagle CJ, Zauber AG, Redston M, Solomon SD, Kim K, et al. Celecoxib for the prevention of sporadic colorectal adenomas. NEngl J Med. 2006; 355(9): 873-884.